Key Statistics
Monthly Returns Heatmap
-60%
+100%
Bitcoin Halving Month
Positive Return
Negative Return
Quarterly Performance
Seasonality Insights
Average Return by Month
Monthly Win Rate
Bitcoin Halving Cycles
Year-over-Year Comparison
vs
The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle
Bitcoin historically follows a 4-year cycle pattern aligned with each new year. Understanding this pattern helps simplify your long-term strategy:
Top Year
The year Bitcoin heads toward its cycle peak. Distribution into euphoria or complacency.
2017, 2021, 2025...Bottom Year
The descent to the cycle low. Capitulation and accumulation phase.
2018, 2022, 2026...Recovery Year
Slow and steady recovery from the bottom. Building momentum for the next rally.
2019, 2023, 2027...Rally Year
The explosive rally phase. Maximum opportunity and optimism.
2020, 2024, 2028...This pattern was shared by Aaron Dishner from The Better Traders in December 2024 and has accurately marked the market phases, including the 2025 Top year. 📺 Watch the full explanation on YouTube